Ukraine- “War: a massacre of people who don’t know each other for the profit of people who know each other but don’t massacre each other.”. – Paul Valery.
It is more necessary than ever to stop this war and restore, as far as possible, the flow of essential raw materials to the markets.
In Germany, one of the most technologically advanced countries in the world, people are stocking up on firewood and charcoal for the winter as if they were in the Middle Ages. And it is not for less, his government has declared a state of energy emergency. The street lamps run at half throttle to save. Politicians ask that the bathtub not be used, that the showers be shortened and the heating be lowered. They ask us to buy new appliances because the old ones are “Putin's friends”. Gas rationing is planned for this winter. The Teutonic employers ask that the sanctions on Russian gas be lifted so that the economy does not collapse.
The country, co-governed by the Greens, is reopening old hyper-polluting coal plants. His government is going to have to rescue the Uniper energy consortium, the country's largest gas supplier, perhaps as part of its shareholding. France has decreed the war economy and is going to completely nationalize the electric company EDF. The EU has established a gas distribution system that will force the countries that have the most reserves to share it with those that need it the most, even if this entails imposing restrictions on their population that Hungary has already said it will not accept. Across Europe a fever has been unleashed for the purchase of survival kits and camping stoves as if an apocalyptic or dystopian world were to be unleashed.
Inflation in the euro zone is at record highs. The ECB is going to have to raise rates to contain inflation even if it brings us closer to the abyss of recession. Despite the lack of gas, autumn and winter will be hot, as the trade union centers of the Old Continent have already warned. It is unacceptable that, crisis after crisis, the only ones who suffer are the working classes, companies are rescued with public money and then never return to previous salary levels. The euro has sunk against the dollar. It is Europe that is paying the price of the sanctions while, in the United States, the military-industrial complex is rubbing its hands, just like the hydrocarbons sector that is having a field day at the expense of the European nerds.
By inflation the European countries are on fire?
A famine of biblical proportions is approaching. It can have devastating effects in some regions of the planet, where it will be felt even more severely than a conventional war. As collateral effects, it will bring more instability and, surely, greater immigration from the south to the north, with all that this entails.
Gasoline and, above all, gas seem to have no ceiling. If some raw materials are falling it is because no one can afford them anymore, the futures markets discount an economic contraction or a recession. Many states go deeper and deeper into debt to stop the escalation of prices, although their measures are soon overwhelmed by the harsh reality of the market.
Governments warn of the worst to come during the coming fall and winter. Winter is coming, they said in Game of Thrones. To solve this debacle, we have had to hide Greta Thunberg while we bury the Kyoto and Paris objectives; We have done the same with Juan Guaidó and rehabilitated Maduro and the ayatollahs. We implore OPEC to increase its production to supply Russian hydrocarbons, but they have shown that they do not have the capacity to do so nor much will. Nobody likes to throw stones on their roof. Well… nobody except Europe, which seems to have taken a liking to that of masochistic paraphilias. It is difficult to know if the one who governs us does so at the service of Europe or the United States.
If oil and gas are withdrawn from the market, being a scarce commodity, it is normal for the price to rise because there will be more countries bidding for the same product. It is a first class lesson in capitalist economics. However, what is happening is that Europe continues to buy Russian oil but from intermediaries – to give the impression that the sanctions are being complied with – at a higher price. Such is the hypocrisy of our incapable governments.
Ukraine conflict: Refugee numbers soar as war rages
Despite the brutal propaganda campaign launched, more and more European citizens are asking themselves, is it worth it? Is it worth abandoning the path against sacrosanct climate change just to teach Russia a lesson? Is it worth impoverishing the European population in order to break Russia? Is it worth continuing in this war caused by the US's desire to conquer all of Eastern Europe? Is it worth starving thousands of people in Asia or Africa for following bellicose US policies? Is it worth prolonging the war so that tens and tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers die in it? Those are the questions that we should be solving democratically in the streets, in our parliaments and in coffee gatherings.
Ukrainian soldiers surrendered while morale plummets
The economic war is not taking its toll on Russia as the strategists in Washington and Brussels had designed. The ruble is the best performing currency this year. Imports from Moscow have generated much more revenue than in past periods. Only inflation poses a small problem, although in June it has started to decline, unlike in the West, where its rise is meteoric.
The military war against NATO was won by Russia, which already occupies a quarter of the Ukraine, an area larger than all of England. Together with their allies they already have almost all the regions with a Russian majority, it is a matter of weeks before they achieve their initial objectives. However, the longer it runs, the more likely it is that other provinces will join. It is therefore urgent to reach a peace agreement as soon as possible or there will not be an inch of Ukrainian land east of the Dnieper River.
Defending a terrain is achieved with only 1/3 of the number of attackers needed to conquer it. Each position where Russia and its allies settle would have to be attacked with a number of soldiers that the Ukrainian army simply does not have. Their best troops are wounded, dead or taken prisoner. What they have left are inexperienced people who they send to the front to die like cannon fodder. The government forcibly recruits new soldiers at leisure centers and has already begun compulsorily recruiting women. The biggest enemy of Ukraine is the one who runs the war against Russia with foreign soldiers and throws them into the meat grinder. When, in time, the data on fallen kyiv soldiers becomes public, many will raise their hands to their heads, surely they will number in the hundreds of thousands.
It is therefore more necessary than ever to stop this war and restore, as far as possible, the flow of essential raw materials to the markets. What happens is that the Anglo-Saxon hands that rock Zelensky's cradle still do not allow it. At the moment they continue in the illusory daydream of fighting to the last Ukrainian to defeat Russia. There they.
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